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Red10
193912.8
1633.8
43299.5
Blue9
433029.3
572113.1
484912.0
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6122050100150109

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
16
#13
33.83.4
27.123.7
Auto-0.4
Teleop34.2
End0.0
red by 4.5
29.31.6
11.19.4
Auto1.5
Teleop27.8
End0.0
Second
1939
#51
12.83.4
17.614.2
Auto1.2
Teleop11.6
End0.0
blue by 0.4
5721
#44
13.16.2
13.16.9
Auto-0.2
Teleop13.4
End0.0
Third
4329
#47
9.53.4
12.28.8
Auto-0.4
Teleop9.9
End0.0
blue by 2.4
4849
#34
12.01.6
9.27.5
Auto0.8
Teleop11.2
End0.0