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Red70
425623.7
248161.4
384720.5
Blue85
515319.8
361631.4
543720.0
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions64250501001507085

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
61.41.3
23.624.9
Auto6.2
Teleop55.2
End0.0
red by 30.0
31.44.4
13.217.6
Auto0.0
Teleop31.3
End0.0
Second
4256
#19
23.71.3
18.920.2
Auto1.1
Teleop22.6
End0.0
red by 3.8
5437
#26
20.019.0
31.912.9
Auto1.0
Teleop18.9
End0.0
Third
3847
#31
20.51.3
18.119.4
Auto-0.1
Teleop20.6
End0.0
red by 0.7
5153
#25
19.84.4
10.615.0
Auto0.5
Teleop19.3
End0.0