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Red56
393119.5
245154.3
545412.8
Blue18
110810.7
178519.9
525913.2
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions473402060801001201401605618

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
54.30.8
24.225.0
Auto2.6
Teleop51.8
End0.0
red by 34.5
1785
#28
19.91.6
10.79.0
Auto-0.2
Teleop20.1
End0.0
Second
3931
#24
19.50.8
14.215.0
Auto0.5
Teleop19.0
End0.0
red by 6.3
5259
#40
13.21.6
10.18.4
Auto-0.5
Teleop13.8
End0.0
Third
5454
#38
12.818.7
28.09.3
Auto2.4
Teleop10.4
End0.0
red by 2.1
1108
#45
10.71.6
17.015.3
Auto-0.7
Teleop11.4
End0.0