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Red72
306112.8
393728.1
204017.2
Blue72
239524.7
1633.8
40113.4
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions457001001502007272

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3937
#14
28.11.5
22.323.8
Auto0.9
Teleop27.3
End0.0
blue by 5.7
16
#13
33.80.3
30.831.1
Auto-0.4
Teleop34.2
End0.0
Second
2040
#22
17.21.5
15.917.5
Auto-0.1
Teleop17.3
End0.0
blue by 7.5
2395
#12
24.70.3
23.023.2
Auto0.7
Teleop24.0
End0.0
Third
3061
#50
12.81.5
12.514.0
Auto-0.2
Teleop12.9
End0.0
blue by 0.6
401
#41
13.40.3
14.514.8
Auto1.0
Teleop12.4
End0.0