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Red95
484912.0
198642.5
543720.0
Blue53
173228.3
110810.7
378311.6
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions594301001509553

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1986
#10
42.52.6
37.039.6
Auto3.5
Teleop39.0
End0.0
red by 14.2
1732
#17
28.30.4
26.927.3
Auto0.9
Teleop27.4
End0.0
Second
5437
#26
20.02.6
14.617.2
Auto1.0
Teleop18.9
End0.0
red by 8.3
3783
#36
11.60.4
12.512.9
Auto0.0
Teleop11.6
End0.0
Third
4849
#34
12.02.6
7.39.9
Auto0.8
Teleop11.2
End0.0
red by 1.2
1108
#45
10.70.4
8.18.5
Auto-0.7
Teleop11.4
End0.0