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Red16
178519.9
31609.6
235915.1
Blue11
43299.5
500621.5
555110.7
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions493902060801001201611

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1785
#28
19.92.4
17.715.3
Auto-0.2
Teleop20.1
End0.0
blue by 1.7
5006
#21
21.52.3
21.719.5
Auto0.4
Teleop21.1
End0.0
Second
2359
#33
15.12.4
18.416.0
Auto0.0
Teleop15.1
End0.0
red by 4.4
5551
#37
10.72.3
13.811.6
Auto0.8
Teleop9.9
End0.0
Third
3160
#46
9.62.4
13.411.0
Auto-0.2
Teleop9.8
End0.0
red by 0.1
4329
#47
9.52.3
6.74.5
Auto-0.4
Teleop9.9
End0.0