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Red58
572113.1
40904.7
452237.9
Blue94
515319.8
433029.3
393119.5
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions495901001502005894

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
37.90.4
35.135.5
Auto0.6
Teleop37.2
End0.0
red by 8.6
29.32.3
24.927.2
Auto1.5
Teleop27.8
End0.0
Second
5721
#44
13.10.4
12.713.1
Auto-0.2
Teleop13.4
End0.0
blue by 6.7
5153
#25
19.82.3
17.519.8
Auto0.5
Teleop19.3
End0.0
Third
4090
#54
4.70.4
4.34.7
Auto-0.1
Teleop4.8
End0.0
blue by 14.8
3931
#24
19.52.3
17.219.5
Auto0.5
Teleop19.0
End0.0