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Red120
198642.5
433029.3
425623.7
Blue76
328427.3
239524.7
450024.8
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions977005015020012076

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1986
#10
42.50.5
42.743.2
Auto3.5
Teleop39.0
End0.0
red by 15.2
3284
#15
27.30.0
27.327.3
Auto-0.1
Teleop27.4
End0.0
Second
29.30.5
29.529.9
Auto1.5
Teleop27.8
End0.0
red by 4.5
4500
#16
24.80.0
24.824.8
Auto1.1
Teleop23.7
End0.0
Third
4256
#19
23.70.5
23.924.4
Auto1.1
Teleop22.6
End0.0
blue by 1.0
2395
#12
24.70.0
24.724.7
Auto0.7
Teleop24.0
End0.0