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Red68
1633.8
238637.4
384720.5
Blue86
173228.3
170633.7
297222.4
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions92790501502006886

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
37.40.5
37.937.4
Auto0.7
Teleop36.7
End0.0
red by 3.7
33.70.0
33.733.7
Auto1.1
Teleop32.6
End0.0
Second
16
#13
33.80.5
34.333.8
Auto-0.4
Teleop34.2
End0.0
red by 5.5
1732
#17
28.30.0
28.228.3
Auto0.9
Teleop27.4
End0.0
Third
3847
#31
20.50.5
21.020.5
Auto-0.1
Teleop20.6
End0.0
blue by 1.9
2972
#32
22.40.0
22.422.4
Auto0.5
Teleop21.9
End0.0