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Red166
245154.3
248161.4
162519.0
Blue110
452237.9
120836.8
220024.2
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13588050150200250300166110

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
61.40.7
60.661.3
Auto6.2
Teleop55.2
End0.0
red by 23.5
37.90.2
37.637.9
Auto0.6
Teleop37.2
End0.0
Second
54.30.7
53.554.2
Auto2.6
Teleop51.8
End0.0
red by 17.5
36.80.2
36.636.8
Auto0.9
Teleop35.9
End0.0
Third
1625
#52
19.00.7
18.218.9
Auto2.4
Teleop16.6
End0.0
blue by 5.2
2200
#23
24.20.2
23.924.2
Auto-0.3
Teleop24.5
End0.0