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Red26
300815.4
508715.6
477421.5
Blue0
56485.7
56006.1
480210.3
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions32230406080100260

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
21.50.5
9.48.9
Auto-0.2
Teleop21.7
End0.0
red by 11.2
4802
#21
10.33.9
10.36.4
Auto1.0
Teleop9.3
End0.0
Second
5087
#15
15.67.6
15.68.0
Auto-0.2
Teleop15.8
End0.0
red by 9.5
5600
#30
6.10.3
6.16.4
Auto-0.2
Teleop6.3
End0.0
Third
15.40.5
14.113.6
Auto-0.3
Teleop15.7
End0.0
red by 9.8
5648
#29
5.70.7
5.76.4
Auto1.2
Teleop4.5
End0.0