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Red4
559314.2
56633.7
48016.5
Blue42
560215.8
558421.8
556415.5
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions252401020304050607080442

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5593
#16
14.27.4
14.26.7
Auto0.9
Teleop13.2
End0.0
blue by 7.6
21.817.3
27.29.9
Auto0.7
Teleop21.1
End0.0
Second
4801
#28
6.50.3
6.56.7
Auto-0.2
Teleop6.7
End0.0
blue by 9.3
5602
#14
15.85.9
15.89.9
Auto-0.1
Teleop15.9
End0.0
Third
5663
#32
3.73.0
3.76.7
Auto-0.1
Teleop3.9
End0.0
blue by 11.7
15.55.6
15.59.9
Auto-0.1
Teleop15.6
End0.0