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Red126
56058.7
461339.9
313243.5
Blue43
558421.8
55656.6
480210.3
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions37240608010012012643

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
43.57.5
15.623.0
Auto3.2
Teleop40.3
End0.0
red by 21.7
21.81.4
10.211.6
Auto0.7
Teleop21.1
End0.0
Second
39.97.5
14.221.7
Auto-0.4
Teleop40.3
End0.0
red by 29.6
4802
#21
10.31.4
6.37.7
Auto1.0
Teleop9.3
End0.0
Third
5605
#23
8.77.5
6.413.9
Auto-0.1
Teleop8.8
End0.0
red by 2.1
5565
#24
6.61.4
9.911.3
Auto-0.2
Teleop6.8
End0.0