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Red36
300815.4
453713.6
47395.6
Blue92
512814.1
461339.9
559314.2
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2536060801001201403692

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
15.40.7
12.112.9
Auto-0.3
Teleop15.7
End0.0
blue by 24.5
39.94.7
25.129.8
Auto-0.4
Teleop40.3
End0.0
Second
4537
#10
13.60.7
8.79.5
Auto0.0
Teleop13.6
End0.0
blue by 0.6
5593
#16
14.24.7
5.410.1
Auto0.9
Teleop13.2
End0.0
Third
4739
#31
5.60.7
6.67.3
Auto-0.1
Teleop5.7
End0.0
blue by 8.5
5128
#13
14.14.7
5.410.1
Auto0.0
Teleop14.1
End0.0