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Red84
425329.6
478810.7
558421.8
Blue67
55656.6
313243.5
477421.5
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions27500204060801001201401608467

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
29.64.3
16.320.7
Auto-0.3
Teleop29.9
End0.0
blue by 13.9
43.51.6
27.729.3
Auto3.2
Teleop40.3
End0.0
Second
21.84.3
11.615.9
Auto0.7
Teleop21.1
End0.0
red by 0.3
21.51.6
11.012.5
Auto-0.2
Teleop21.7
End0.0
Third
4788
#20
10.74.3
4.18.4
Auto-0.2
Teleop10.9
End0.0
red by 4.1
5565
#24
6.61.6
9.611.2
Auto-0.2
Teleop6.8
End0.0