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Red67
35949.9
478810.7
48178.0
Blue100
300815.4
425329.6
461339.9
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5163010015020067100

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
359
#2
49.90.6
40.340.9
Auto0.3
Teleop49.6
End0.0
red by 10.0
39.92.9
29.832.6
Auto-0.4
Teleop40.3
End0.0
Second
4788
#20
10.70.9
8.49.3
Auto-0.2
Teleop10.9
End0.0
blue by 18.9
29.62.9
20.723.5
Auto-0.3
Teleop29.9
End0.0
Third
4817
#27
8.00.9
6.47.3
Auto0.0
Teleop7.9
End0.0
blue by 7.5
15.42.9
12.915.7
Auto-0.3
Teleop15.7
End0.0