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Red38
56058.7
55656.6
508715.6
Blue43
453713.6
560215.8
576115.0
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions35290204060803843

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5087
#15
15.60.2
13.413.5
Auto-0.2
Teleop15.8
End0.0
blue by 0.2
5602
#14
15.80.9
13.414.3
Auto-0.1
Teleop15.9
End0.0
Second
5605
#23
8.70.2
11.211.4
Auto-0.1
Teleop8.8
End0.0
blue by 6.3
15.00.9
8.49.3
Auto-0.2
Teleop15.1
End0.0
Third
5565
#24
6.60.2
11.211.4
Auto-0.2
Teleop6.8
End0.0
blue by 7.0
4537
#10
13.60.9
9.510.4
Auto0.0
Teleop13.6
End0.0