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Red18
55739.6
56485.7
46145.7
Blue33
512814.1
533314.4
48016.5
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions202304060801001201401833

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5573
#18
9.60.3
11.911.7
Auto0.1
Teleop9.4
End0.0
blue by 4.8
5333
#22
14.40.7
7.58.2
Auto-0.5
Teleop14.8
End0.0
Second
4614
#26
5.70.3
5.24.9
Auto-0.0
Teleop5.7
End0.0
blue by 8.4
5128
#13
14.10.7
10.110.8
Auto0.0
Teleop14.1
End0.0
Third
5648
#29
5.70.3
4.44.1
Auto1.2
Teleop4.5
End0.0
blue by 0.8
4801
#28
6.50.7
6.26.9
Auto-0.2
Teleop6.7
End0.0