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Qual 432015 Australia Regional
Red40
477421.5
573111.1
559314.2
Blue81
533112.5
512711.9
313243.5
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions27470204060801001201401604081

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4774
#8
21.50.7
12.5→13.2
Auto-0.2
Teleop21.7
End0.0
blue by 22.1
3132
#3
43.52.7
29.3→32.0
Auto3.2
Teleop40.3
End0.0
Second
5593
#16
14.20.7
10.1→10.7
Auto0.9
Teleop13.2
End0.0
red by 1.7
5331
#11
12.52.7
8.7→11.4
Auto-0.1
Teleop12.6
End0.0
Third
5731
#25
11.10.7
8.8→9.5
Auto-0.2
Teleop11.3
End0.0
blue by 0.8
5127
#12
11.92.7
8.0→10.7
Auto-0.2
Teleop12.1
End0.0