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Red29
472910.2
47395.6
558421.8
Blue8
556415.5
56633.7
56017.1
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3128010204050607080298

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
21.80.2
15.915.7
Auto0.7
Teleop21.1
End0.0
red by 6.4
15.51.2
17.115.9
Auto-0.1
Teleop15.6
End0.0
Second
4729
#19
10.20.2
8.48.2
Auto1.2
Teleop9.0
End0.0
red by 3.2
5601
#33
7.11.2
5.94.7
Auto0.7
Teleop6.4
End0.0
Third
4739
#31
5.60.2
7.37.1
Auto-0.1
Teleop5.7
End0.0
red by 1.9
5663
#32
3.71.2
6.45.2
Auto-0.1
Teleop3.9
End0.0