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Red50
461339.9
533314.4
48178.0
Blue18
56058.7
472910.2
512814.1
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2524010203040506070805018

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
39.947.9
59.011.1
Auto-0.4
Teleop40.3
End0.0
red by 25.8
5128
#13
14.16.2
14.17.9
Auto0.0
Teleop14.1
End0.0
Second
5333
#22
14.43.3
14.411.1
Auto-0.5
Teleop14.8
End0.0
red by 4.1
4729
#19
10.22.4
10.27.9
Auto1.2
Teleop9.0
End0.0
Third
4817
#27
8.02.5
8.511.0
Auto0.0
Teleop7.9
End0.0
blue by 0.7
5605
#23
8.70.8
8.77.9
Auto-0.1
Teleop8.8
End0.0