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Red50
512711.9
573111.1
35949.9
Blue20
453713.6
508715.6
480210.3
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions63140501001505020

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
359
#2
49.90.4
40.440.0
Auto0.3
Teleop49.6
End0.0
red by 34.3
5087
#15
15.60.2
8.07.9
Auto-0.2
Teleop15.8
End0.0
Second
5127
#12
11.94.0
11.97.9
Auto-0.2
Teleop12.1
End0.0
blue by 1.7
4537
#10
13.60.2
7.57.3
Auto0.0
Teleop13.6
End0.0
Third
5731
#25
11.13.2
11.17.9
Auto-0.2
Teleop11.3
End0.0
red by 0.8
4802
#21
10.30.2
6.46.2
Auto1.0
Teleop9.3
End0.0