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Red16
56006.1
573111.1
56017.1
Blue28
533314.4
55656.6
478810.7
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions163004060801001201628

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5731
#25
11.10.2
8.07.9
Auto-0.2
Teleop11.3
End0.0
blue by 3.3
5333
#22
14.40.1
7.47.4
Auto-0.5
Teleop14.8
End0.0
Second
5601
#33
7.10.2
4.64.4
Auto0.7
Teleop6.4
End0.0
blue by 3.7
4788
#20
10.70.1
11.511.5
Auto-0.2
Teleop10.9
End0.0
Third
5600
#30
6.10.2
5.85.7
Auto-0.2
Teleop6.3
End0.0
blue by 0.5
5565
#24
6.60.1
10.09.9
Auto-0.2
Teleop6.8
End0.0