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Red36
47395.6
512814.1
512711.9
Blue57
35949.9
508715.6
56633.7
12%Model gave it88%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2463040801001203657

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5128
#13
14.10.4
13.013.4
Auto0.0
Teleop14.1
End0.0
blue by 35.8
359
#2
49.90.1
40.340.2
Auto0.3
Teleop49.6
End0.0
Second
5127
#12
11.90.4
11.912.2
Auto-0.2
Teleop12.1
End0.0
blue by 3.7
5087
#15
15.60.1
14.414.2
Auto-0.2
Teleop15.8
End0.0
Third
4739
#31
5.60.4
5.66.0
Auto-0.1
Teleop5.7
End0.0
red by 1.9
5663
#32
3.70.1
4.14.0
Auto-0.1
Teleop3.9
End0.0