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Red0
533112.5
56485.7
56058.7
Blue56
48178.0
560215.8
425329.6
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions27450206080100120056

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5331
#11
12.51.5
13.211.6
Auto-0.1
Teleop12.6
End0.0
blue by 17.2
29.61.1
24.025.1
Auto-0.3
Teleop29.9
End0.0
Second
5605
#23
8.71.5
10.38.8
Auto-0.1
Teleop8.8
End0.0
blue by 7.1
5602
#14
15.81.1
13.614.7
Auto-0.1
Teleop15.9
End0.0
Third
5648
#29
5.71.5
7.56.0
Auto1.2
Teleop4.5
End0.0
blue by 2.3
4817
#27
8.01.1
6.37.4
Auto0.0
Teleop7.9
End0.0