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Red42
182816.2
313317.3
418334.8
Blue15
237517.4
30488.7
52078.6
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions492204060801001201401604215

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
34.80.4
14.815.2
Auto-0.3
Teleop35.1
End0.0
red by 17.4
2375
#20
17.40.6
12.011.4
Auto0.4
Teleop17.0
End0.0
Second
3133
#22
17.30.6
13.914.5
Auto-0.1
Teleop17.4
End0.0
red by 8.6
3048
#34
8.71.0
7.46.4
Auto0.1
Teleop8.6
End0.0
Third
1828
#23
16.20.6
18.218.8
Auto0.8
Teleop15.5
End0.0
red by 7.6
5207
#35
8.61.0
7.56.5
Auto0.0
Teleop8.6
End0.0