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Red65
418334.8
378518.0
52078.6
Blue46
394432.3
48416.4
170019.8
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions323801001502002503006546

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
34.81.6
15.216.7
Auto-0.3
Teleop35.1
End0.0
red by 2.6
32.30.6
16.417.1
Auto-0.1
Teleop32.4
End0.0
Second
3785
#26
18.02.6
12.214.8
Auto0.3
Teleop17.7
End0.0
blue by 1.8
1700
#13
19.80.7
15.015.6
Auto0.4
Teleop19.5
End0.0
Third
5207
#35
8.62.6
6.59.1
Auto0.0
Teleop8.6
End0.0
red by 2.2
4841
#38
6.40.6
6.87.5
Auto-0.1
Teleop6.6
End0.0