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Red48
129019.6
264718.1
149227.3
Blue6
99614.6
449614.5
24496.2
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions402306080100120486

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27.30.8
19.119.8
Auto-0.1
Teleop27.4
End0.0
red by 12.7
996
#27
14.61.7
9.07.3
Auto-0.1
Teleop14.7
End0.0
Second
1290
#10
19.60.8
13.113.8
Auto-0.1
Teleop19.6
End0.0
red by 5.0
4496
#33
14.51.7
10.38.5
Auto0.4
Teleop14.1
End0.0
Third
2647
#18
18.10.8
6.77.5
Auto0.7
Teleop17.4
End0.0
red by 12.0
2449
#41
6.21.7
7.35.6
Auto0.4
Teleop5.8
End0.0