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Red34
40187.1
247826.1
449614.5
Blue62
416018.7
129019.6
394432.3
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions30280102040506070803462

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
26.10.4
12.913.3
Auto0.7
Teleop25.4
End0.0
blue by 6.2
32.32.6
11.213.8
Auto-0.1
Teleop32.4
End0.0
Second
4496
#33
14.50.4
9.910.3
Auto0.4
Teleop14.1
End0.0
blue by 5.0
1290
#10
19.62.6
10.413.1
Auto-0.1
Teleop19.6
End0.0
Third
4018
#37
7.10.4
6.46.8
Auto-0.1
Teleop7.2
End0.0
blue by 11.6
4160
#19
18.72.6
8.811.4
Auto0.0
Teleop18.7
End0.0