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Red38
116525.8
547518.1
414624.2
Blue1
318710.4
163312.4
48416.4
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions40270206080100120381

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25.80.1
15.415.3
Auto0.3
Teleop25.5
End0.0
red by 13.5
1633
#32
12.42.4
8.76.3
Auto-0.1
Teleop12.5
End0.0
Second
4146
#31
24.20.1
15.215.1
Auto0.0
Teleop24.2
End0.0
red by 13.9
3187
#39
10.42.4
13.310.9
Auto-0.0
Teleop10.4
End0.0
Third
5475
#17
18.19.7
18.18.4
Auto0.6
Teleop17.5
End0.0
red by 11.7
4841
#38
6.42.4
7.95.5
Auto-0.1
Teleop6.6
End0.0