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Red77
546514.1
313317.3
247826.1
Blue78
41113.9
149227.3
301920.8
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions324001001502002507778

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
26.13.5
15.418.9
Auto0.7
Teleop25.4
End0.0
blue by 1.3
27.33.1
19.823.0
Auto-0.1
Teleop27.4
End0.0
Second
3133
#22
17.33.5
12.315.9
Auto-0.1
Teleop17.4
End0.0
blue by 3.4
3019
#16
20.83.1
15.718.8
Auto0.4
Teleop20.4
End0.0
Third
5465
#29
14.13.5
7.110.6
Auto0.1
Teleop14.0
End0.0
red by 10.2
4111
#40
3.93.1
4.87.9
Auto0.4
Teleop3.5
End0.0