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Red64
170019.8
237517.4
414624.2
Blue64
101118.5
449614.5
385318.3
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions383402060806464

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4146
#31
24.22.6
12.314.9
Auto0.0
Teleop24.2
End0.0
red by 5.7
1011
#28
18.52.8
11.314.2
Auto-0.1
Teleop18.6
End0.0
Second
1700
#13
19.82.6
15.618.2
Auto0.4
Teleop19.5
End0.0
red by 1.5
3853
#12
18.32.8
13.716.6
Auto-0.1
Teleop18.5
End0.0
Third
2375
#20
17.41.6
11.012.5
Auto0.4
Teleop17.0
End0.0
red by 2.9
4496
#33
14.52.8
10.813.7
Auto0.4
Teleop14.1
End0.0