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Red0
240317.3
30488.7
48416.4
Blue8
284010.4
416018.7
318710.4
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions253005010015020025030035008

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2403
#30
17.32.2
14.912.7
Auto0.3
Teleop17.0
End0.0
blue by 1.4
4160
#19
18.71.8
10.78.8
Auto0.0
Teleop18.7
End0.0
Second
3048
#34
8.72.2
4.32.1
Auto0.1
Teleop8.6
End0.0
blue by 1.6
2840
#36
10.41.8
8.36.4
Auto-0.1
Teleop10.5
End0.0
Third
4841
#38
6.42.2
7.55.2
Auto-0.1
Teleop6.6
End0.0
blue by 3.9
3187
#39
10.41.8
11.29.3
Auto-0.0
Teleop10.4
End0.0