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Red32
101118.5
49824.6
378518.0
Blue35
240317.3
24496.2
553915.1
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4325060801001203235

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
498
#7
24.60.8
13.612.7
Auto0.3
Teleop24.3
End0.0
red by 7.3
2403
#30
17.31.0
12.713.7
Auto0.3
Teleop17.0
End0.0
Second
1011
#28
18.50.8
14.213.4
Auto-0.1
Teleop18.6
End0.0
red by 3.5
5539
#25
15.11.0
11.412.5
Auto0.3
Teleop14.7
End0.0
Third
3785
#26
18.00.8
14.013.2
Auto0.3
Teleop17.7
End0.0
red by 11.9
2449
#41
6.21.0
4.65.6
Auto0.4
Teleop5.8
End0.0