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Red34
301920.8
129019.6
318710.4
Blue10
41113.9
52078.6
40187.1
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4419060801001203410

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3019
#16
20.80.6
18.818.2
Auto0.4
Teleop20.4
End0.0
red by 12.1
5207
#35
8.61.1
11.510.4
Auto0.0
Teleop8.6
End0.0
Second
1290
#10
19.60.6
13.612.9
Auto-0.1
Teleop19.6
End0.0
red by 12.5
4018
#37
7.11.1
3.92.8
Auto-0.1
Teleop7.2
End0.0
Third
3187
#39
10.40.6
9.38.7
Auto-0.0
Teleop10.4
End0.0
red by 6.4
4111
#40
3.91.1
7.96.8
Auto0.4
Teleop3.5
End0.0