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Red25
163312.4
99614.6
182816.2
Blue86
170019.8
69817.2
247826.1
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions364701001502002503002586

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1828
#23
16.21.2
18.617.4
Auto0.8
Teleop15.5
End0.0
blue by 9.8
26.13.3
18.922.1
Auto0.7
Teleop25.4
End0.0
Second
996
#27
14.61.2
10.79.5
Auto-0.1
Teleop14.7
End0.0
blue by 5.2
1700
#13
19.83.3
18.221.5
Auto0.4
Teleop19.5
End0.0
Third
1633
#32
12.41.2
9.88.7
Auto-0.1
Teleop12.5
End0.0
blue by 4.8
698
#24
17.23.3
9.713.0
Auto-0.1
Teleop17.2
End0.0