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Red78
149227.3
378518.0
416018.7
Blue66
394432.3
49824.6
385318.3
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions454402060801007866

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27.32.8
22.925.7
Auto-0.1
Teleop27.4
End0.0
blue by 5.0
32.31.5
18.520.0
Auto-0.1
Teleop32.4
End0.0
Second
4160
#19
18.72.8
8.411.2
Auto0.0
Teleop18.7
End0.0
blue by 5.9
498
#7
24.61.5
12.714.3
Auto0.3
Teleop24.3
End0.0
Third
3785
#26
18.02.8
13.216.0
Auto0.3
Teleop17.7
End0.0
blue by 0.3
3853
#12
18.31.5
16.417.9
Auto-0.1
Teleop18.5
End0.0