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Red4
318710.4
170019.8
30488.7
Blue52
264718.1
266219.6
302118.5
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3036050100150200452

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1700
#13
19.82.3
21.519.1
Auto0.4
Teleop19.5
End0.0
red by 0.2
2662
#15
19.61.3
11.512.8
Auto-0.2
Teleop19.8
End0.0
Second
3187
#39
10.42.3
8.76.3
Auto-0.0
Teleop10.4
End0.0
blue by 8.1
3021
#14
18.50.8
12.112.9
Auto0.1
Teleop18.4
End0.0
Third
3048
#34
8.72.3
2.0-0.3
Auto0.1
Teleop8.6
End0.0
blue by 9.4
2647
#18
18.11.3
12.814.1
Auto0.7
Teleop17.4
End0.0