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Red20
266219.6
99614.6
30488.7
Blue25
394432.3
52078.6
301920.8
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions184804060801001201401602025

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2662
#15
19.60.2
12.812.5
Auto-0.2
Teleop19.8
End0.0
blue by 12.6
32.31.7
20.018.3
Auto-0.1
Teleop32.4
End0.0
Second
996
#27
14.60.2
10.510.2
Auto-0.1
Teleop14.7
End0.0
blue by 6.1
3019
#16
20.81.7
16.014.3
Auto0.4
Teleop20.4
End0.0
Third
3048
#34
8.70.2
-0.3-0.6
Auto0.1
Teleop8.6
End0.0
red by 0.1
5207
#35
8.61.7
9.07.3
Auto0.0
Teleop8.6
End0.0