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Red26
385318.3
40187.1
129019.6
Blue74
547518.1
553915.1
418334.8
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3635010203040506070802674

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1290
#10
19.60.8
11.510.7
Auto-0.1
Teleop19.6
End0.0
blue by 15.3
34.81.8
16.918.7
Auto-0.3
Teleop35.1
End0.0
Second
3853
#12
18.30.8
17.917.0
Auto-0.1
Teleop18.5
End0.0
red by 0.2
5475
#17
18.13.0
10.913.8
Auto0.6
Teleop17.5
End0.0
Third
4018
#37
7.10.8
6.75.8
Auto-0.1
Teleop7.2
End0.0
blue by 8.0
5539
#25
15.13.0
10.413.4
Auto0.3
Teleop14.7
End0.0