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Red83
247826.1
315822.5
182816.2
Blue119
153853.8
237517.4
248626.9
30%Model gave it70%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5480010015020083119

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
26.11.9
23.125.1
Auto0.7
Teleop25.4
End0.0
blue by 27.7
53.83.3
43.346.6
Auto-0.1
Teleop53.8
End0.0
Second
22.51.2
20.121.3
Auto0.2
Teleop22.2
End0.0
blue by 4.5
2486
#11
26.92.0
24.726.7
Auto1.1
Teleop25.9
End0.0
Third
1828
#23
16.21.9
16.618.5
Auto0.8
Teleop15.5
End0.0
blue by 1.2
2375
#20
17.42.0
11.113.1
Auto0.4
Teleop17.0
End0.0