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Qual 492015 Arizona East Regional
Red10
24496.2
41113.9
547518.1
Blue6
449614.5
52078.6
240317.3
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions264406080100120140160106

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5475
#17
18.11.1
13.8→12.8
Auto0.6
Teleop17.5
End0.0
red by 0.8
2403
#30
17.32.4
20.3→17.9
Auto0.3
Teleop17.0
End0.0
Second
2449
#41
6.21.1
10.1→9.1
Auto0.4
Teleop5.8
End0.0
blue by 8.4
4496
#33
14.52.4
15.3→12.9
Auto0.4
Teleop14.1
End0.0
Third
4111
#40
3.91.1
5.6→4.6
Auto0.4
Teleop3.5
End0.0
blue by 4.7
5207
#35
8.62.4
7.3→4.9
Auto0.0
Teleop8.6
End0.0