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Red33
30488.7
315822.5
40187.1
Blue54
49824.6
237517.4
116525.8
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2343060801001201403354

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22.50.3
21.321.6
Auto0.2
Teleop22.2
End0.0
blue by 3.4
25.81.5
11.312.8
Auto0.3
Teleop25.5
End0.0
Second
3048
#34
8.70.5
-0.6-0.1
Auto0.1
Teleop8.6
End0.0
blue by 15.9
498
#7
24.61.5
16.718.1
Auto0.3
Teleop24.3
End0.0
Third
4018
#37
7.10.5
5.86.3
Auto-0.1
Teleop7.2
End0.0
blue by 10.3
2375
#20
17.40.9
13.114.0
Auto0.4
Teleop17.0
End0.0