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Red38
385318.3
553915.1
266219.6
Blue7
24496.2
264718.1
546514.1
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2725010204050607080387

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2662
#15
19.61.0
10.010.9
Auto-0.2
Teleop19.8
End0.0
red by 1.5
2647
#18
18.11.7
8.46.7
Auto0.7
Teleop17.4
End0.0
Second
3853
#12
18.31.0
8.09.0
Auto-0.1
Teleop18.5
End0.0
red by 4.3
5465
#29DQ
14.115.5
22.36.8
Auto0.1
Teleop14.0
End0.0
Third
5539
#25
15.15.6
15.19.5
Auto0.3
Teleop14.7
End0.0
red by 8.9
2449
#41
6.21.7
10.99.1
Auto0.4
Teleop5.8
End0.0