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Qual 62015 Arizona East Regional
Red8
315822.5
378518.0
237517.4
Blue64
6042.1
301920.8
99614.6
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions43310206080100864

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3158
#8
22.51.6
17.1→15.5
Auto0.2
Teleop22.2
End0.0
blue by 19.6
60
#2
42.12.5
14.9→17.4
Auto0.3
Teleop41.8
End0.0
Second
3785
#26
18.02.4
12.0→9.6
Auto0.3
Teleop17.7
End0.0
blue by 2.7
3019
#16
20.82.5
12.7→15.2
Auto0.4
Teleop20.4
End0.0
Third
2375
#20
17.41.4
13.4→12.0
Auto0.4
Teleop17.0
End0.0
red by 2.8
996
#27
14.62.5
6.6→9.0
Auto-0.1
Teleop14.7
End0.0