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Red27
264718.1
301920.8
553915.1
Blue74
394432.3
153853.8
182816.2
11%Model gave it89%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions32890501001502002774

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3019
#16
20.80.7
14.313.6
Auto0.4
Teleop20.4
End0.0
blue by 33.0
53.80.7
46.645.9
Auto-0.1
Teleop53.8
End0.0
Second
2647
#18
18.10.7
14.413.7
Auto0.7
Teleop17.4
End0.0
blue by 14.2
32.30.7
18.317.6
Auto-0.1
Teleop32.4
End0.0
Third
5539
#25
15.10.7
13.412.7
Auto0.3
Teleop14.7
End0.0
blue by 1.2
1828
#23
16.20.7
18.517.8
Auto0.8
Teleop15.5
End0.0