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Red52
99614.6
170019.8
284010.4
Blue73
129019.6
378518.0
313317.3
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions314302060801001201401605273

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1700
#13
19.81.4
16.818.2
Auto0.4
Teleop19.5
End0.0
red by 0.3
1290
#10
19.62.8
10.713.5
Auto-0.1
Teleop19.6
End0.0
Second
996
#27
14.61.4
10.211.6
Auto-0.1
Teleop14.7
End0.0
blue by 3.4
3785
#26
18.02.8
16.319.1
Auto0.3
Teleop17.7
End0.0
Third
2840
#36
10.41.4
7.18.5
Auto-0.1
Teleop10.5
End0.0
blue by 6.9
3133
#22
17.32.8
16.018.8
Auto-0.1
Teleop17.4
End0.0