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Qual 552015 Arizona East Regional
Red36
248626.9
385318.3
48416.4
Blue45
163312.4
302118.5
449614.5
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions48340204060801001203645

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2486
#11
26.90.6
26.7→26.1
Auto1.1
Teleop25.9
End0.0
red by 8.4
3021
#14
18.50.4
14.2→14.6
Auto0.1
Teleop18.4
End0.0
Second
3853
#12
18.30.9
17.0→16.2
Auto-0.1
Teleop18.5
End0.0
red by 3.8
4496
#33
14.50.5
12.9→13.4
Auto0.4
Teleop14.1
End0.0
Third
4841
#38
6.40.8
3.6→2.8
Auto-0.1
Teleop6.6
End0.0
blue by 5.9
1633
#32
12.40.6
10.6→11.2
Auto-0.1
Teleop12.5
End0.0