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Qual 642015 Arizona East Regional
Red50
248626.9
69817.2
30488.7
Blue67
240317.3
315822.5
266219.6
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3657020801001201401605067

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2486
#11
26.90.8
26.7→27.5
Auto1.1
Teleop25.9
End0.0
red by 4.5
3158
#8
22.50.6
22.1→22.6
Auto0.2
Teleop22.2
End0.0
Second
698
#24
17.21.0
13.4→14.4
Auto-0.1
Teleop17.2
End0.0
blue by 2.5
2662
#15
19.60.7
15.7→16.5
Auto-0.2
Teleop19.8
End0.0
Third
3048
#34
8.71.0
0.3→1.4
Auto0.1
Teleop8.6
End0.0
blue by 8.6
2403
#30
17.30.7
18.1→18.8
Auto0.3
Teleop17.0
End0.0