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Red29
449614.5
182816.2
547518.1
Blue22
149227.3
163312.4
546514.1
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions405001001502002922

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5475
#17
18.11.0
14.613.7
Auto0.6
Teleop17.5
End0.0
blue by 9.2
27.31.5
24.022.5
Auto-0.1
Teleop27.4
End0.0
Second
1828
#23
16.21.0
15.414.4
Auto0.8
Teleop15.5
End0.0
red by 2.1
5465
#29
14.11.5
15.213.7
Auto0.1
Teleop14.0
End0.0
Third
4496
#33
14.51.0
13.412.4
Auto0.4
Teleop14.1
End0.0
red by 2.2
1633
#32
12.41.5
11.19.6
Auto-0.1
Teleop12.5
End0.0